Premier League predictions: Jones Knows backs Chelsea to beat Manchester United | Football news


Our betting guru Jones Knows believes Chelsea will get ahead of Manchester United in a close encounter. Discover his predictions and betting angles on Sunday matches.

Brentford vs Everton, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports

Sunday November 28 2:00 p.m.

Kick-off at 2:00 p.m.

The fact that Everton is an outsider for this meeting underlines perfectly where these two clubs are. Brentford is 6/5 with Sky Bet for the win while injury-ravaged Everton is 12/5. Prices like these suggest the market expects Brentford to finish above Everton this season – and it’s hard to dispute that.

Everton haven’t achieved any wins in their last six Premier League games (D2 L4) and are bottom of the last six games guide. They will head to West London without Abdoulaye Doucoure, Demarai Gray, Richarlison or Dominic Calvert-Lewin. Since the start of last season, only 21 of their 63 Premier League goals have not been scored or assisted by any of those four – more than 66% of their missing goal commitments for this game. Where will the objectives come from? An astonishing Andros Townsend, perhaps. It is all I have.

Brentford have lost four of their last five games, but their performance data remains strong, especially in attacking metrics. During this period, only Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester City have accumulated more expected goals than Brentford (7.67). While they will once again miss the influence of goalie David Raya, their extra firepower in the final third makes a home win easy to imagine.


Brentford v Everton
Brentford vs Everton is live on Sky Sports

Burnley vs Tottenham, Sunday 2 p.m.

James Tarkowski – suspended for this one – will be missed by Burnley.

Since the start of the 17/18 season, Burnley has been without Tarkowski 12 times in the Premier League. They failed to win any of those games. You feel that an Antonio Conte side should stand up to the physical test well at Turf Moor, which this Spurs side has traditionally done. Tottenham are unbeaten in the last five encounters in all competitions against Burnley, having lost just one of the last 15.

They won 1-0 on their last two visits to Turf Moor. A third could be considered for Conte, whose full-time reaction to the Leeds win looked like a man who wants results rather than performances at this point in his tenure. He can get one here.


Leicester vs Watford, Sunday 2 p.m.

Leicester at 08/13 with Sky Bet? No thanks.

The blip becomes a longer term problem for Brendan Rodgers. Where is Rodgers’ usual fizz in their attacks? They could have played long into the night in the loss to Chelsea without scoring last weekend.

But more worrying still, Rodgers’ inability to sort out the defense should send warning signals to his bosses.

Since the beginning of March, only Newcastle have conceded more goals than Leicester (41) in the Premier League. A clean sheet in 18 Premier League appearances is a bit shocking for a team with top-four ambitions. During the same period, Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester City kept 11.

To me, it looks like the backbone of the team may be entering a period of transition sooner than Rodgers anticipated. Kasper Schmeichel and Jamie Vardy’s powers diminish. And it could get worse before it gets better with a familiar face tracing their fall into the visitors’ shelter. Of course, Claudio Ranieri spent 19 months as Leicester manager, leading them to Premier League title success in 2015/16.

He can lead Watford to a result by playing the counterattacking style that has achieved greatness in King Power.


BETTING ANGLE: Watford to win or draw (13/8 with Sky Bet)

Manchester City vs West Ham, Sunday 2 p.m.

For a team that have already beaten Liverpool and Man City (on penalties) this season, 9/1 with Sky Bet on an away win seems a bit generous here.

The Hammers are perfectly set up to cause problems for City with their quick ability to counterattack and get behind defenses. Tottenham, Southampton and Crystal Palace have all implemented this strategy this season against City and came away with a positive result. And, let’s be honest, West Ham is one step ahead of these three teams in terms of points accumulated over the past two seasons.

Am I brave enough to get involved? That’s if I can forgive the Hammers for stinking the place out of Wolves last weekend. Michail Antonio and Declan Rice looked leggy and the usual energetic supports behind the striker lacked their usual creative spark.

There is also the Man City factor to consider. They purred like a Ferrari on Wednesday against PSG.

If they can restrict Neymar, Kylian Mbappe and Lionel Messi to an expected goals total of 0.78, what chance do Jarrod Bowen and Pablo Fornals have?

The answer is: I am not brave enough. City to border it.


Chelsea vs Manchester United, Sunday 4.30am, live on Sky Sports

Sunday November 28 4:00 p.m.

Kick-off at 4.30 p.m.

It could be the last game Manchester United lose before Christmas.

Sane, grown-up football tactics were used midweek against Villarreal and hey ho, a clean sheet was banked and their frightening array of attacking players took over in the final quarter. Arsenal, Crystal Palace, Young Boys, Norwich, Brentford and Brighton are all next. United could well catch fire.

I can see United being tough to beat here too. However, this Chelsea side are just finding ways to win. They are a machine.

I can, however, bypass 4/7 with Sky Bet for a home win and grab some juice from the player accessory markets.

Chelsea’s ability to find goals all over the pitch has yet to be fully taken into account by the markets.

Thirteen of Chelsea’s 30 Premier League goals have been scored by defenders – no other team has scored more than four defenseman goals.

There is a range of angles to consider in the shot and goal market for Chelsea players. With Harry Maguire missing, United will be vulnerable to set pieces. That makes Antonio Rudiger (9/1 with Sky Bet), Thiago Silva (8/1 with Sky Bet) and Trevoh Chalobah (9/1 with Sky Bet) all runners in the goal market at all times. Rudiger, who also enjoys striking from a distance, has also managed at least one shot on goal in his last 11 appearances in all competitions and has managed two or more shots in five of his last eight Premier League games. It’s a 5/2 move with Sky Bet that will happen again and it’s a great value slice.

Reece James is also a fixture in the shooting markets, but this time around in target shooting selection. James is Chelsea’s leading Premier League scorer this season with four goals as the quality of his attacking play has catapulted to another level. He has a striker instinct for the winger’s goal – just look at his midweek effort against Juventus. It was scandalous.

James has had seven shots on target in his last five games in all competitions and averaged 0.8 shots on target every 90 minutes this season. Sky Bet kindly rated the James and Rudiger angles as a very tasty 11/1 shot.

A price that overflows with value.


BETTING ANGLE: Reece James must have one or more shots on target and Antonio Rudiger must have two or more shots (11/1 with Sky Bet)


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